Noble Group - $10,000 Unrealized Profits

My student is in an unrealized profits of $10,000 now. Noble is currently in the Top Volume no 1 with price gaping up. The $10,000 was made in 3 Contra days. I am so happy for him that after the Jan course, he was able to spot the bottom for Noble himself without my help. This is a testament of the skill you are going to acquire if you signed up for my course. My course is currently so hot that my April is almost fill up soon. Next course maybe in June. Thanks all.



update 1/2/2016, 9:39am

Noble Sellers emerged per my morning before market opened 8.58am outlook to my student who went 200 lots last Thursday!

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

SMRT - Good News Into Charts

Over the weekend, the edge magazine had a feature on SMRT. After reading it, it made logic and sense. On the surface, the company looks like they made some improvements with more transparency with concerted effort to improve it's image with a blog and an advertising campaign. This is what it portrays in the media and news but in fact, this piece of good news had already been factored into the SMRT stock price as shown in the chart above circled at the gap down point. SMRT as of now looks bullish. The buyers were flocking in and there were limited sellers. In the near term, I would look into a good timing for a bullish trade. For those who shorted, be alert of your positions if any. The chart is telling us that the Big Boys had covered their shorts. :)



picture source: taken from edge magazine

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

My Investment Portfolio (January 2016)

STI ended the month at around 2629 points, continuing its downward movement from last month. Again, fears of China's economy hard landing and low oil prices were the major concerns. Investors sold down stocks across the board, making stock picking a difficult task in this market.

For this month, I have attended the following AGMs/EGMs/briefings - Transcorp, Frasers Commercial Trust, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Envictus, Noble and F&N.

For my top 30 holdings, Jardine C&C moved back to the top of the list after it outperformed this month. A-REIT is another major mover upwards after I subscribed to its preferential offer. Koyo International dropped out of the list after I sold down the stock.

I have bought the following companies from the market this month - Advanced Holdings, Bonvests, CapitaLand, Chuan Hup, GK Goh, GL, Global Testing, Hong Fok, Hong Kong Land, Jardine Matheson, Jardine Strategic, Kencana, Keppel Corp, Khong Guan, Lantrovision, New Toyo, PM Data, SembCorp Industries, S'pore Shipping, Sunningdale, UIC, UOL, Wing Tai and YHI. I have also reduced my stake in Koyo International and closed my positions in OKH Global and Oriental Group.

I have subscribed to the following preferential offer - A-REIT. I have also participated in the following scrip dividend schemes - Boustead and UOB.

I have also accepted the following voluntary delisting/cash offer this month - Li Heng.

Next month will be a busy reporting season as most companies with financial year ending December 2015 will be reporting their full year results. I will (as usual) go through most of these results. With the market appearing oversold, I will continue to buy good quality stocks at a reasonable price. I might also switch out of lower quality stocks to finance some of these purchases.

My S'pore Stock Portfolio - Top Holdings, cash investment only (correct as at 29 January 2016)

Top 30 Holdings (Sing$ Denominated shares)
1. Jardine C&C 
2. United Engineers
3. Bonvests
4. Metro Holdings
5. Sarine Technologies
6. Haw Par
7. Singapura Finance
8. A-REIT 
9. Hotel Royal
10. Hotel Grand Central
11. The Hour Glass
12. Hong Fok
13. SGX
14. Keppel T&T
15. Isetan
16. Bukit Sembawang Estates
17. ComfortDelgro
18. Hotel Properties
19. GK Goh  
20. Old Chang Kee
21. Sing Investment & Finance
22. Hong Leong Finance
23. Hiap Hoe
24. UOL  
25. Far East Orchard
26. CapitaMall Trust 
27. VICOM
28. Stamford Land
29. CapitaLand
30. First REIT

Top 5 Holdings (US$ Denominated shares)
1. Jardine Strategic
2. Hong Kong Land 
3. Mandarin Oriental  
4. Dairy Farm
5. Jardine Matheson

Top Holdings (HK$ Denominated shares)
1. Fortune REIT
2. Tan Chong International

Top Holdings (Aust$ Denominated shares)
1. AV Jennings

Top 5 Holdings (CPF OA investment)
1. Keppel Corp
2. Streettracks STI ETF
3. CapitaMall Trust
4. A-REIT
5. Challenger Technologies

My Hong Kong Stock Portfolio
1. Peace Mark Holdings - Under Voluntary Liquidation

My Australia Stock Portfolio
1. GPS Alliance Holdings Limited

My Unlisted Company Portfolio
1. Automated Touchstone Machines Ltd
2. Iconic Global Limited
3. Greatronic Limited
4. General Magnetics
5. Fastech Synergy
6. Beauty China- Under Liquidation
7. Memory Devices
8. Jurong Tech - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
9. FM Holdings
10. Japan Land - In liquidation - Members' voluntary winding up
11. Zhonghui - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
12. FerroChina - Under Liquidation
13. FirstLink Investments
14. NEL Group
15. Jets Technics
16. Guangzhao Industrial Forest - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
17. Hongwei Technologies Limited (In Provisional Liquidation)
18. FDS Networks Group
19. Aussino Group - In liquidation - Creditors' voluntary winding up
20. China Oilfield Technology

My Unit Trust Portfolio:
http://www.fundsupermart.com/main/community/Portfolio_View.svdo?id=P199

Global Logistics - Lock Out The Shortitst

As predicted in my previous post on Wednesday that GLP's operator will be doing a major flush before conducting a rally, indeed, that happened yesterday and the stock sprung up and closed almost near the day high. Read the below post for my analysis and see how I predicted it!

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/global-logistics-wavering-through-big.html

Actually, it's not difficult to do forward prediction as I had been doing so for many years. Most of the days I got it right but very seldom I got it wrong. The only thing that I don't do it price because I watch time. Time carries more precedent and weight than price and hence I focused heavily on it. When a stock run, it's about the right timing and any price you grab, it would also run. The most important knowledge in my forward prediction skill is that one is able to predict what will happen first and then followed by what's going to happen next, his/her action is then to get it at the right time. It's as simple as that. Will share more on next Tues. See you guys there!



Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Secura - Sold Down with Big Sellers

In the end, as predicted Secura had a number of huge sellers selling down the stock as posted 12.14pm in the noon. from morning 0.24 to closing 0.22, the sellers were punishing the buyers and asking them not to buy now because the timing is not right.

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/secura-consistently-sellers.html

On another note, STI was overtly bullish today, closing a day high of 66 points with many underlying stocks running. It's getting exciting now to watch out for some good blue chips.



Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

AIMS AMP - Maybank Kim Eng 2016-01-29: Aiming for better days

AIMS AMP CAP INDUSTRIAL REIT O5RU.SI 

AIMS AMP (AAREIT SP) - Aiming for better days 

Weak Leasing. Maintain HOLD. Latent potential. 

• 3Q3/16 results confirm a weak leasing environment. 
• We temper our occupancy expectations by c.1ppt, which docks DPU expectations by 1.1- 1.7%. 
• TP lowered accordingly to SGD1.45 from SGD1.47 on a 7.75% target yield. Maintain HOLD. 

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CDL Hospitality Trusts - RHB Invest 2016-01-29: Further Headwinds Ahead

CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS CDLHT J85.SI 

CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDREIT SP) - Further Headwinds Ahead

• We expect headwinds to persist for CDL 
• Hospitality Trust (CDLHT) this year, mainly due to supply glut and weakness in the tourism sector. 
• We maintain SELL with an unchanged TP of SGD1.14, which implies FY16 P/BV ratio of 0.68x. 

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