Saturday, 7 June 2014

My unit trust portfolio

Throughout my investment journey I learned the importance of diversification and dividend investing. Diversification hedges against single stock/bonds mishap and over confidence in one company; dividend provides the psycological consolation of recurring income from my investments. 

Last year after much deliberation, I liquidated part of my stocks portfolio and purchased unit trust in order to diversify the systemic risk. I still hold a good number of blue chips like DBS, SGX CAMBRIDGE, OUE, Semb Corp Industries but I decided that no matter how diversified I am in local stocks, I am subjected to political and country risks. If one day the PAP is ousted from power, our stock market may take a severe beating. 

Last year, I pledged my stocks for a credit line with my then bank at 1.05% interest. Hence the unit trust you see below are partially funded by cash, ie 300k and partially borrowed.

I chose dividend payout for all my funds (with exception of USD bond funds) as I usually reinvest them at my discretion when markets are down. The markets are in a staggered uptrend mode. By opting for dividend payout in cash instead of reinvestments, I am forcing the fund managers to take profit on a monthly basis for me. There is no point for me to reinvest and keep buying higher.

After 1 year, the total dividends I have received is approximately $30,000. The capital loss on my funds works out to be 9,900. Hence the net return is 3.2%. Moreover, I incurred a interest cost of about $3150. Hence the return works out to be 2.76%. However, if you calculate base on my initial capital of $300,000, my leveraged yield works out to be 5.65%, if I liquidate everything on Monday.

At current market, I intend to hold the unit trust portfolio for the long term, possibly till retirement. The whole purpose to construct a leveraged unit trust portfolio is to lock in the contract for low interest rates (1.05%) and use the dividends to repay the loan. Technically, the loan can be repaid in about 10 years time assuming dividends remain constant. I can repay the loan anytime if I sell off my stocks anyway.

I still have about $300,000 “debt headroom” to draw down and capitalise on any market opportunity that may appear. Eg, the stock market crash 20%, I can utilise $100,000 to pick up deeply discounted stocks at low interest rates while waiting for recovery, the dividend yield will be able to pay for the interest accured.

Is it possible to replicate this strategy? Yes and no. I bought most of the unit trust from fundsupermart and transferred to the bank I was previously working. The interest rate was granted at staff rate and if you walk in to any bank for such service, be prepared for at least 1.6% loan rates and 2% sales charge.

The good thing about buying unit trust for dividend is the payment is usually prompt and gains are not taxable. This serves as good income if I am out of job but if I am gainfully employed, the dividends will pay for the loan and interest while buffing up my credit limit to draw down in the event there is a market crisis. I will opt for dividends reinvestment scheme if any unit trust fall below 10% from my initial purchase price.  

At low interest rates environment which in my view will continue for several years, borrowing money to spend/invest is the best way to hedge against zero interest rates environment.

My investment portfolio has grown significantly from the leverage. Including CPF and SRS funds, I have about 1M invested already. My cash stock dividends and trading gains works out to be about $20,000 a year which in totality brings me $4,000 passive income a month. I will work towards a 5 figure passive income in order to have a more comfortable life ahead. Still slightly away from the 50% mark, I shall persevere.


Do follow Sg Blue Chip on my investment journey. 

Wednesday, 12 June 2013

STI - High Speed Flushing


STI just had a high speed flushed! A rebound is imminent!

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - The Big Speculator

Tuesday, 11 June 2013

Stock Operation Course - The Holy Grail in Roll Over


Earlier yesterday, I completed 3 powerful charts with illustration of how a rollover was conducted and orchestrated by the BBs. How do we identify Roll Over and use it to our advantage? I promised it's very easy to understand and all it requires is just 1 bar to see Roll Over in motion. There is no need fanciful horizontal, diagonal lines nor volume, 1 simple bar will do the trick.

So what's new in the July's Stock Operation Course? Roll Over shall be one of the subject all my students will learn. If one is able to identify Roll Over, he/she can expect a huge big breakout to come! All charts come with detailed explanation and precise location of the bar of where the Roll Over took place.

I am left limited seats for the July Stock Operation Course, so if you are interested, you can email me at stockmarketmindgames@gmail.com with your name and contact number. You can also come for the preview next week. However do note, it's first come first serve. Whoever make payments first shall have his/her seats reserved. Roll Over is a very important knowledge to have and I shall be the first to impart this valuable knowledge to interested candidates. Existing students, you will get to learn. I will arrange accordingly.

Preview Date: 

20th June 2013, Time: 7.00pm to 8.30pm
Venue: City Index Asia Pte Ltd
6 Battery Road
#20-01
Singapore 049909
(Next to Raffles Place MRT Station)


Contact Ronald K at stockmarketmindgames@gmail.com with the following details.

Subject: Attending Ronald K "The Stock Operation Preview"

Contents: Name, e-mail address and mobile number. 

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - The Big Speculator

Polaris - Profits Turned To Losses




Yesterday was a total bloodshed late in the morning. However early in the morning, I knew something was totally wrong and by just hesitating for a flick of a second, I wasn't able to cut loss fast in Polaris at 0.026 which would have saved me $3K SGD. Ok, so that's one of the mistake I made by not reacting as fast as I normally would.



May 31st 2013, I once again got caught on that devious fake breakout, fake volume which I don't want to go behind the scenes to explain what happened and why I did not book profits during that day. The end of the story is I had profits which turned to losses. This is only the second or third time that it happened to me in my entire trading journal ever since I started speculation and so I take it very seriously. I can make a wrong call and cut loss, that's fine. However profits turned to losses is a big put off and a no no to me. I was mad at myself for my greediness and hopefulness and so from here on I am only going to listen to my inner thoughts and observe what the BBs are doing. No more fixated target price nor hope nor greed.

Paid a hefty price for this unforgivable mistake I made but at least my emotion was reduced to the very minimum and my cut loss was only 3 pips down. I don't mind losing big money but at least I dare to go big and give it a try. I understand that in all great attempts, it's glorious to fail. Without failure and learning the art of losing, how can I ever free my ambitious mind to taste the labor of success later?

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - The Big Speculator

Monday, 10 June 2013

Midas - Fake Volume



As a human, I sometimes do commit asinine mistakes. Every time I told myself not to chase and buy on breakouts, some days I still commit that unforgivable mistake and had to pay a hefty price. On June 6th, I went to long Midas on a high volume day, at the time when I longed, I knew I committed a crime again and would need to get out quickly so as to either secure a profit or cut loss quick.

On that very same day, I had a chance to get out at 0.505 and make $500 but because of greediness, it cost me $ again. Yesterday, I could have cut loss without losing a single cent but just minor commission, again because of hope, it cost me $ again. Today, I decided that when the market opens, I am not going to hesitate too much but to watch for a few minutes before decide my course of action. 23 minutes passed by and finally I decided to liquidate with no hope or greed whatsoever. My cut loss was 2 pip however I learnt a valuable lesson in identifying fake volume with fake breakouts. Midas is currently trading at 0.48/0.485.


We are now entering one of the most challenging market where there are constantly selling across the boards. Will this present an opportunity for us to buy low again? I still think timing is very crucial at this point of time due to it's volatility.


Ronald K - Market Psychologist - The Big Speculator

STI - What's Happening?


What's happening in the market? This is the first time I ever saw this kind of strange activity where there simply isn't any willing buyers. I am very skeptical and afraid of fake breakouts nowadays because it can cost you big time. Is the market going to crash? If anyone had a clue of what's happening, please send me an email to stockmarketmindgames@gmail.com and let me know.

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - The Big Speculator

Sunday, 9 June 2013

STI - Weak Supply


Just when I thought there would be a rebound last Friday, the market had a mini selldown.

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2013/06/sti-rebound.html


The BBs are shrewd and smart as they always do. They are constantly confusing the public and repeatedly bilked the public from making money. From a -50 points last Thursday to a -8.8 points last Friday, the selling had abated. Today I seriously believe the rebound will happen. We shall watch!

Update: June 10th 2013, 9.05am



STI rebounded! Will this rebound last? I believe those who were trapped earlier on are looking to get out first. The selling must subside first.

Update: June 10th 2013, 10.26am




The market had an influx of short coverings and new wave of buyers!

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - The Big Speculator