Sunday 31 January 2016

Secura - Depressing Stock Price




Secura hit a low of 0.21 as per my bearish post last week. The stock is currently in an oversold region where I would not look for any buying opportunities now until the penny season.

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/secura-consistently-sellers.html

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/secura-sold-down-with-big-sellers.html

To beat the stock, one must know the intentions behind the operator and I will reveal how they play this counter in my workshop tomorrow.

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

SMRT - Uprising Prices Today



SMRT is currently rising and the stock price as predicted after the magazine report is on an uptrend. As warned yesterday to the shortist to be alert, the buyers were strong.

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/smrt-good-news-into-charts.html

If you are into buying a good stock or looking to long stocks for investment, I have a few up on my sleeve. Tomorrow I will be sharing more on how to spot those.

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Noble Group - $10,000 Unrealized Profits





My student is in an unrealized profits of $10,000 now. Noble is currently in the Top Volume no 1 with price gaping up. The $10,000 was made in 3 Contra days. I am so happy for him that after the Jan course, he was able to spot the bottom for Noble himself without my help. This is a testament of the skill you are going to acquire if you signed up for my course. My course is currently so hot that my April is almost fill up soon. Next course maybe in June. Thanks all.

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update 1/2/2016, 9:39am



Noble Sellers emerged per my morning before market opened 8.58am outlook to my student who went 200 lots last Thursday!

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

SMRT - Good News Into Charts



Over the weekend, the edge magazine had a feature on SMRT. After reading it, it made logic and sense. On the surface, the company looks like they made some improvements with more transparency with concerted effort to improve it's image with a blog and an advertising campaign. This is what it portrays in the media and news but in fact, this piece of good news had already been factored into the SMRT stock price as shown in the chart above circled at the gap down point. SMRT as of now looks bullish. The buyers were flocking in and there were limited sellers. In the near term, I would look into a good timing for a bullish trade. For those who shorted, be alert of your positions if any. The chart is telling us that the Big Boys had covered their shorts. :)

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picture source: taken from edge magazine

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Saturday 30 January 2016

My Investment Portfolio (January 2016)

STI ended the month at around 2629 points, continuing its downward movement from last month. Again, fears of China's economy hard landing and low oil prices were the major concerns. Investors sold down stocks across the board, making stock picking a difficult task in this market.

For this month, I have attended the following AGMs/EGMs/briefings - Transcorp, Frasers Commercial Trust, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Envictus, Noble and F&N.

For my top 30 holdings, Jardine C&C moved back to the top of the list after it outperformed this month. A-REIT is another major mover upwards after I subscribed to its preferential offer. Koyo International dropped out of the list after I sold down the stock.

I have bought the following companies from the market this month - Advanced Holdings, Bonvests, CapitaLand, Chuan Hup, GK Goh, GL, Global Testing, Hong Fok, Hong Kong Land, Jardine Matheson, Jardine Strategic, Kencana, Keppel Corp, Khong Guan, Lantrovision, New Toyo, PM Data, SembCorp Industries, S'pore Shipping, Sunningdale, UIC, UOL, Wing Tai and YHI. I have also reduced my stake in Koyo International and closed my positions in OKH Global and Oriental Group.

I have subscribed to the following preferential offer - A-REIT. I have also participated in the following scrip dividend schemes - Boustead and UOB.

I have also accepted the following voluntary delisting/cash offer this month - Li Heng.

Next month will be a busy reporting season as most companies with financial year ending December 2015 will be reporting their full year results. I will (as usual) go through most of these results. With the market appearing oversold, I will continue to buy good quality stocks at a reasonable price. I might also switch out of lower quality stocks to finance some of these purchases.

My S'pore Stock Portfolio - Top Holdings, cash investment only (correct as at 29 January 2016)

Top 30 Holdings (Sing$ Denominated shares)
1. Jardine C&C 
2. United Engineers
3. Bonvests
4. Metro Holdings
5. Sarine Technologies
6. Haw Par
7. Singapura Finance
8. A-REIT 
9. Hotel Royal
10. Hotel Grand Central
11. The Hour Glass
12. Hong Fok
13. SGX
14. Keppel T&T
15. Isetan
16. Bukit Sembawang Estates
17. ComfortDelgro
18. Hotel Properties
19. GK Goh  
20. Old Chang Kee
21. Sing Investment & Finance
22. Hong Leong Finance
23. Hiap Hoe
24. UOL  
25. Far East Orchard
26. CapitaMall Trust 
27. VICOM
28. Stamford Land
29. CapitaLand
30. First REIT

Top 5 Holdings (US$ Denominated shares)
1. Jardine Strategic
2. Hong Kong Land 
3. Mandarin Oriental  
4. Dairy Farm
5. Jardine Matheson

Top Holdings (HK$ Denominated shares)
1. Fortune REIT
2. Tan Chong International

Top Holdings (Aust$ Denominated shares)
1. AV Jennings

Top 5 Holdings (CPF OA investment)
1. Keppel Corp
2. Streettracks STI ETF
3. CapitaMall Trust
4. A-REIT
5. Challenger Technologies

My Hong Kong Stock Portfolio
1. Peace Mark Holdings - Under Voluntary Liquidation

My Australia Stock Portfolio
1. GPS Alliance Holdings Limited

My Unlisted Company Portfolio
1. Automated Touchstone Machines Ltd
2. Iconic Global Limited
3. Greatronic Limited
4. General Magnetics
5. Fastech Synergy
6. Beauty China- Under Liquidation
7. Memory Devices
8. Jurong Tech - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
9. FM Holdings
10. Japan Land - In liquidation - Members' voluntary winding up
11. Zhonghui - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
12. FerroChina - Under Liquidation
13. FirstLink Investments
14. NEL Group
15. Jets Technics
16. Guangzhao Industrial Forest - In liquidation - Compulsory winding up (Insolvency)
17. Hongwei Technologies Limited (In Provisional Liquidation)
18. FDS Networks Group
19. Aussino Group - In liquidation - Creditors' voluntary winding up
20. China Oilfield Technology

My Unit Trust Portfolio:
http://www.fundsupermart.com/main/community/Portfolio_View.svdo?id=P199

Friday 29 January 2016

Global Logistics - Lock Out The Shortitst



As predicted in my previous post on Wednesday that GLP's operator will be doing a major flush before conducting a rally, indeed, that happened yesterday and the stock sprung up and closed almost near the day high. Read the below post for my analysis and see how I predicted it!

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/global-logistics-wavering-through-big.html

Actually, it's not difficult to do forward prediction as I had been doing so for many years. Most of the days I got it right but very seldom I got it wrong. The only thing that I don't do it price because I watch time. Time carries more precedent and weight than price and hence I focused heavily on it. When a stock run, it's about the right timing and any price you grab, it would also run. The most important knowledge in my forward prediction skill is that one is able to predict what will happen first and then followed by what's going to happen next, his/her action is then to get it at the right time. It's as simple as that. Will share more on next Tues. See you guys there!

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Secura - Sold Down with Big Sellers




In the end, as predicted Secura had a number of huge sellers selling down the stock as posted 12.14pm in the noon. from morning 0.24 to closing 0.22, the sellers were punishing the buyers and asking them not to buy now because the timing is not right.

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/secura-consistently-sellers.html


On another note, STI was overtly bullish today, closing a day high of 66 points with many underlying stocks running. It's getting exciting now to watch out for some good blue chips.

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Thursday 28 January 2016

AIMS AMP - Maybank Kim Eng 2016-01-29: Aiming for better days

AIMS AMP - Maybank Kim Eng 2016-01-29: Aiming for better days AIMS AMP CAP INDUSTRIAL REIT O5RU.SI 

AIMS AMP (AAREIT SP) - Aiming for better days 


Weak Leasing. Maintain HOLD. Latent potential. 

  • 3Q3/16 results confirm a weak leasing environment. 
  • We temper our occupancy expectations by c.1ppt, which docks DPU expectations by 1.1- 1.7%. 
  • TP lowered accordingly to SGD1.45 from SGD1.47 on a 7.75% target yield. Maintain HOLD. 
Continue Reading »

CDL Hospitality Trusts - RHB Invest 2016-01-29: Further Headwinds Ahead

CDL Hospitality Trusts - RHB Invest 2016-01-29: Further Headwinds Ahead CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS CDLHT J85.SI 

CDL Hospitality Trusts (CDREIT SP) - Further Headwinds Ahead

  • We expect headwinds to persist for CDL 
  • Hospitality Trust (CDLHT) this year, mainly due to supply glut and weakness in the tourism sector. 
  • We maintain SELL with an unchanged TP of SGD1.14, which implies FY16 P/BV ratio of 0.68x. 
Continue Reading »

GLP, Sembcorp Marine - Wins and Losses




It's such a volatile market. The market suddenly reversed and trended higher. Here, I am particularly impressed with my students' trade. Made $ in Sembcorp Marine but lost in GLP. It was so volatile earlier that one piece of news from Japan can cause a spike in prices and within a few minutes, it tanked again. This is trading, we expect some losses and hope for more wins. Short term trading is not risky if you can read the charts correctly and if I tell you it's simple, it's that simple, just that it requires practice. If you love trading like I do, don't give up, but throw away your complex TA and FA and embrace simplicity. :)

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Secura - Consistently Sellers



Consistent sellers in Secura and it's still not the right time to go long. It seemed as though there was no obvious buyers and the amount of sellers floating was still strong. To long this counter, the stock needs to have a reduced amount of sellers before it can perform it's fireworks again. Watching it since it's Peter Lim's small baby.

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Wilmar - What I See in This Breakout




Wilmar just broke out. I am currently watching this stock. In the min chart, it revealed many wonderful traps that the operator used to conduct this breakout that we see now. I was caught off guard but well, there is till chances to enter. Watching and waiting for the right timing now. I will show you how to do timing next Tues in my workshop. Bring a pen and paper.

http://www.facebook.com/ronaldk.ronaldk

http://www.facebook.com/stockspeculation

http://www.facebook.com/stockmarketmindgames

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Jumbo - 1000 Lots Stopped




The amount of sellers in Jumbo looks promising. It looks like those who long this counter are now in some losses. I believe the stale bulls were trapped at the price of 0.465-0.48 when I first posted that the sellers were setting in. Read my post below to see how I did my analysis accurately before what's happening now:

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/jumbo-sellers-set-in.html

I have to agree, I almost bought 1000 lots at 0.475 and chase this counter. Because it's 1000 lots, I decided to study closer the dynamics of the buy/sell activities before deciding taking a decisive action. As I did my deep dive study, I can't see myself pressing the buy button because the sellers there were just putting pressure and pressing hard. There wasn't any form of support that the buyers can give to overcome the sellers. That itself stop my itchy fingers and it saved me from doing taking silly actions. If you like my analysis, I will teach and share more on next Tues and do come learn with me how to choose the next stock to trade. I will also show how to receive Whatsapp alerts if you are interested in our calls.

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Choosing The Right Stock by Ronald K - Come Learn From Me




With the current market condition, it's getting increasingly difficult to search for a stock for trading. However by analyzing the Top Volume, it seemed as though there are some potential counters like Sunmoon, Terratech and some other stocks with showed some kind of opportunities for short term trading. It's going to be Chinese New Year soon and I will most probably conduct my last FREE sharing session before CNY kicks in. In this last session, because stock picking is important and it can change your fortune if you know how to, I will be illustrating the techniques and the dynamics of how to do so. Moreover, we will also be giving out SMS alerts for those who are interested to received stock alerts and updates from us. Register below.

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Wednesday 27 January 2016

Jumbo - Dumping In Action




Dumping in action for Jumbo as predicted on Monday Jan 25th. The sellers were strong and would let any buyers support the market. Those who came for my LIVE private sharing session, hundreds heard it LIVE that Jumbo is due for a sell down. Read my links below on how I did my analysis!

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/jumbo-short-term-selling.html

http://stockmarketmindgames.blogspot.sg/2016/01/jumbo-sellers-set-in.html

Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist

Singpost - Effort to Sell Down



The effort to sell down Singpost is strong. Even when Alibaba has an stake on it, it doesn't necessarily mean that this stock is good. The stock is now piled up with think stack of sellers and I believe there could be one more round of selling before I expect to see some buyers. Monitoring it.

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Ronald K - Market Psychologist - A Stock Market Opportunist